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US dollar quickly falling down against Brazil Real

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  • Active Members

At the beginning of June 2016, 1 USD was buying 3.61 BRL. At this moment it's 1USD = 3.117 BRL.

It's a 13% loss in just 4 months. A 3.5% was lost during the last week.

I am seriously considering the idea of buying a couple of thousand reals right now.

What do you think?

I just bought a batch by necessity for an imminent trip ... to supplement a sizeable leftover bundle from earlier in the year. So overall did OK on balance.

I decided to hold off purchasing reais for snowbirding in the new year. The recent blip may be partly due to a one-week legally mandated deadline for overseas money repatriation by Brazilians into Brazil, that investment infusion augmenting an already improving economy.

It could level out or gain some more. The forecasts in economically and politically turbulent Spring ranged from 2.5 to 5 ... what's the point of attempting to second-guess, I have to wonder?

And USD continues to pound pounds, usurp euros, lunch on loonies, and over the long haul anyway, outpace pesos. 

Mexico, Colombia, and Brazil this winter will involve some belt-tightening.

I received a PM asking me to clarify "belt-tightening" this winter ... all I meant was that compared to last winter the 3 currencies MEX, COL, BRZ have strengthened. I am not forecasting anything. 

Recovery past week on buying power for $R (eg, Euro 6%), so was no need to rush out and purchase.

I have been to brazil when the dollar was 1.00US to 4.00R and i have been there when it was $1.00US to $1.50R  so it is still much better then it has been in 2009 - 2014. But no matter what it was it never kept me from going! :-)  it just meant my brazilian trips were more expensive then other times!

I second that emotion. The latest average Rio monthly income is $397 USD, well below national average, with one-third below their poverty-line standard. I do not begrudge any strengthening the real brings to bear on that unfortunate real-ity.

 

  • Active Members

The Real has long been emerging markets' most volatile currency - and, according to Bloomberg, this year is no different.

So stop fixating, fasten your seat belt, and enjoy the ride.  

  • Active Members

Dollar down, airfares up! Almost $1400 to fly to Rio from Palm Springs. We used to be able to get frequent flyer awards in coach for 40,000 miles R/T. Today they wanted 150,000...no kidding!

  • Active Members

it's 1USD to R$3.4 as of Friday!, sudden drop of Reals. I hope they will stay for sometime because I am coming to Brazil this Friday the 18th!  Hope to meet fellow forum member in SP Thermas Lagoa also this weekend

  • Active Members
On 11/11/2016 at 5:45 AM, likeohmygod said:

1400 USD for a seat in Premium Economy...i hope.

I got my economy class round trip ticket from Italy to Rio for just 600€

No, those seats are for regular economy. I am looking at next summer, so the fares are probably not going to go down until capacity can't be reached at these fares.

  • 2 weeks later...
On 11/10/2016 at 8:20 PM, Lucky said:

Dollar down, airfares up! Almost $1400 to fly to Rio from Palm Springs. We used to be able to get frequent flyer awards in coach for 40,000 miles R/T. Today they wanted 150,000...no kidding!

This seems to be the peak holiday price.  If you avoid flying between December 15th and Jan 15th, you can easily get the fare below USD$900.

 

Screenshot_2016-11-22-06-17-42.png

  • Active Members

Thanks, Kevin C. I have just been checking AA.com, since we always fly American. The prices I quoted are for next summer. AA has moved their newer planes to other routes, so Rio is getting the old ones. Naturally that costs more!

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