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Aw! The sexist raping lying loser is gonna lose. Who could have seen this coming?

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21 minutes ago, RockyRoadTravel said:

Your headline from 2024 is so current for today. Were you having a premonition? What was it again: "The sexist raping lying loser is gonna lose. Who could have seen this coming?"

I really have beaten this death. But I think the interesting question, for people who are into facts and analysis rather than cruelty and genocide, is this: why was Lichtman wrong in 2024?

At one point maybe around September or October 2024 Mark Halperin, who I think bar none did the best job reporting on the 2024 election, took a dig at Lichtman. He criticized his "data in/data out" system of Keys as being too rigid and inflexible. It's more than a fair point. Halperin did a great job of illustrating why 2024 was a true "lesser of senile evils" election. In the end, the senile-ish guy who promised to lower prices won. Trump now faces the same senile-ish pesky price problem. At least he didn't break his "No More Forever Wars" promise! 🫢

I disagree with Halperin. I would say the problem with Lichtman's Keys is they are too subjective. Which all analysis is, of course. Maybe AI will solve this problem by creating a hive mind. But, until then, to err is human. To kill Muslim children is divine, to our genocide Jew.

I think it was the war and the inflation, stupid. Lichtman discounted the fact that people felt like they were in a recession, even if they were not. The war thing is much tricker. But with the perspective of hindsight, a majority of Americans were barely on board for the Ukraine war around Fall 2024. And they are definitely not on board for the Iran war now.

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1 hour ago, stevenkesslar said:

I really have beaten this death. But I think the interesting question, for people who are into facts and analysis rather than cruelty and genocide, is this: why was Lichtman wrong in 2024?

At one point maybe around September or October 2024 Mark Halperin, who I think bar none did the best job reporting on the 2024 election, took a dig at Lichtman. He criticized his "data in/data out" system of Keys as being too rigid and inflexible. It's more than a fair point. Halperin did a great job of illustrating why 2024 was a true "lesser of senile evils" election. In the end, the senile-ish guy who promised to lower prices won. Trump now faces the same senile-ish pesky price problem. At least he didn't break his "No More Forever Wars" promise! 🫢

I disagree with Halperin. I would say the problem with Lichtman's Keys is they are too subjective. Which all analysis is, of course. Maybe AI will solve this problem by creating a hive mind. But, until then, to err is human. To kill Muslim children is divine, to our genocide Jew.

I think it was the war and the inflation, stupid. Lichtman discounted the fact that people felt like they were in a recession, even if they were not. The war thing is much tricker. But with the perspective of hindsight, a majority of Americans were barely on board for the Ukraine war around Fall 2024. And they are definitely not on board for the Iran war now.

Well its now 2026 (someone tell Emmett), and a current poll of Trumps approval on "handling of the economy" is at 17%... That percent must represent all the AI billionaire moguls that Trump schmoozed and fed lunch to the other day ? diablo

On 10/1/2026 at 12:45 PM, stevenkesslar said:

I really have beaten this death. But I think the interesting question, for people who are into facts and analysis rather than cruelty and genocide, is this: why was Lichtman wrong in 2024?

At one point maybe around September or October 2024 Mark Halperin, who I think bar none did the best job reporting on the 2024 election, took a dig at Lichtman. He criticized his "data in/data out" system of Keys as being too rigid and inflexible. It's more than a fair point. Halperin did a great job of illustrating why 2024 was a true "lesser of senile evils" election. In the end, the senile-ish guy who promised to lower prices won. Trump now faces the same senile-ish pesky price problem. At least he didn't break his "No More Forever Wars" promise! 🫢

I disagree with Halperin. I would say the problem with Lichtman's Keys is they are too subjective. Which all analysis is, of course. Maybe AI will solve this problem by creating a hive mind. But, until then, to err is human. To kill Muslim children is divine, to our genocide Jew.

I think it was the war and the inflation, stupid. Lichtman discounted the fact that people felt like they were in a recession, even if they were not. The war thing is much tricker. But with the perspective of hindsight, a majority of Americans were barely on board for the Ukraine war around Fall 2024. And they are definitely not on board for the Iran war now.

The question reporters could ask The Great Incompetent: Can you tell us the name of one swing State Republican who has asked you to appear in their district? One name.

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Will our local cruel genocide Jew take off after Sean Trende for predicting Republican defeat?

Let's see. Trende is a conservative, unlike liberal Jew Lichtman. So that counts in Trende's favor with our cruel genocide Jew.

But Trende is not a Jew to my knowledge. So take that against Trende.

Most important, to the best of my knowledge, Trende does not cum every time a Palestinian child dies. So that is a big minus for Trende.

Even worse, Trende is not in favor of genocide. So for all practical purposes that makes him as bad as Lichtman and a 181 year old broke ex-hooker like me, I'm guessing.

So the cruel genocide Jew can just ignore this. But Trende is good at this stuff. Just like Lichtman.

Time stamped to 21:30, when Trende comes on for a few minutes to make his predictions.

Battle for the House 2026

RCP, which is right of center but not for genocide of Muslims, to my knowledge, says 226 House seats + 24 toss ups. So if they are in the ballpark Democrats take the House, even if Democrats win none of their toss ups.

270 To Win says 220 Democrat seats as of now, with 15 toss ups.

It sure sucks for our especially sexy. everybody wants to be fucked by him genocide Jew. If Democrats win strong, maybe they can even help stop the genocide. But that's pretty much up to Israel. Which seems to like voting for genocidal monsters like Bibi The Baby Killer. At least our genocide Jew can look forward to a long career as a gorgeous hooker!

scary-clown.gif

I only care what the world's greatest prognosticator (wearing a two-dollar toupee) has to say.
Our resident washed-up, 70-year old, Jew-hating, ex-hooker is the world's worst.

👀 In a shocking turn of events, Donald Trump is back in The White House,  but how did polling ‘Nostradamus’ Allan Lichtman get it so wrong?, Kamal  takes a walk down memory lane to a few weeks back when ...

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12 minutes ago, EmmetK said:

I only care what the world's greatest prognosticator (wearing a two-dollar toupee) has to say.
Our resident washed-up, 70-year old, Jew-hating, ex-hooker is the world's worst.

👀 In a shocking turn of events, Donald Trump is back in The White House,  but how did polling ‘Nostradamus’ Allan Lichtman get it so wrong?, Kamal  takes a walk down memory lane to a few weeks back when ...

Well his crystal ball has had a tune-up, and he agrees with the majority of Americans......Trump is toast !

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6 hours ago, EmmetK said:

Jew-hating

Why are you a genocide Jew?

Why do you cum when Palestinian children die?

Is opposition to genocide now Jew hating?

6 hours ago, Suckrates said:

ex-hooker

Given your incredibly sexy looks you obviously have the hottest guys in the world begging to have sex with you all the time.

scary-clown.gif

How much money have you been paid to have sex with the hottest guys in the world? (Not Muslims, of course.)

$1 million? $5 million? $10 million?

Do you donate to the Genocide Jew's campaign so you can get off while he kills thousands more Muslim kids while trying very hard not to?

6 hours ago, EmmetK said:

I only care .. about genocide.

Duh! Of course! That is why you are a genocide Jew.

5 hours ago, stevenkesslar said:

Why are you a genocide Jew?

Why do you cum when Palestinian children die?

Is opposition to genocide now Jew hating?

Given your incredibly sexy looks you obviously have the hottest guys in the world begging to have sex with you all the time.

scary-clown.gif

How much money have you been paid to have sex with the hottest guys in the world? (Not Muslims, of course.)

$1 million? $5 million? $10 million?

Do you donate to the Genocide Jew's campaign so you can get off while he kills thousands more Muslim kids while trying very hard not to?

Duh! Of course! That is why you are a genocide Jew.

Gay Guides' resident, 70+ year old, washed-up, Jew-hating, ex-hooker engages in deflection. Why? Because he has no answers. In case there are late-comers here, he guaranteed a Cackles victory 2 years ago. Also a dummycrat House and Senate. And what was his basis? His non-existent political instincts and Mr. Cheap toupee himself - Alan Lichtman and his magical keys.... LOL.

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1 hour ago, EmmetK said:

Gay Guides' resident, 70+ year old, washed-up, Jew-hating, ex-hooker engages in deflection. Why? Because he has no answers. In case there are late-comers here, he guaranteed a Cackles victory 2 years ago. Also a dummycrat House and Senate. And what was his basis? His non-existent political instincts and Mr. Cheap toupee himself - Alan Lichtman and his magical keys.... LOL.

Once again, the only argument you have here, and using your time machine to go BACK to 2024...... Get to work and find us a current argument to promote Trump..... I'll send you a check for $5000 if you can do it ! Bts Laughing GIFs | Tenor

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7 hours ago, stevenkesslar said:

Why are you a genocide Jew?

1 hour ago, EmmetK said:

Gay Guides' resident Muslim-hating genocide Jew, who also happens to be one of the sexiest men in the world, who fashion models everywhere pay to have sex with, engages in deflection. Why?

scary-clown.gif

1 hour ago, Suckrates said:

Once again, the only argument you have here, and using your time machine to go BACK to 2024...... Get to work and find us a current argument to promote Trump..... I'll send you a check for $5000 if you can do it ! Bts Laughing GIFs | Tenor

I don't own a time machine. But perhaps you should hold on to your $5,000 and donate it to the Cackles/AOC 2028 campaign.

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2 minutes ago, EmmetK said:

I don't own a time machine. But perhaps you should hold on to your $5,000 and donate it to the Cackles/AOC 2028 campaign.

Oh right, like all the other checks he PROMISED and never sent........ More Delusion huh ?

You keep the $5000 and add it to Trumps burial fund...... He is TOAST. Would you like peanut butter or jam on your burnt toast ?

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