Riobard

I think you misunderstand. Correcting for ascertainment bias (undercount), as per commonly acknowledged differential epidemiologically estimated, it simply means that on any given day the true incidence is about 5-fold reported incidence. This is based on population samples, prior to vaccination on the scene at a time one needed not distinguish between nucleocapsid and spike-specific antibodies, comparing rates of natural immunity (from blood samples) to cumulative numbers of cases confirmed by testing; remember many are asymptomatic. Therefore, in São Paulo it is estimated that the true recovery total among survivors is many multiples of 1 million. That is not bad news for visitors because that coupled with vaccination likely confers more robust immunity for locals, artificial superimposed on natural. The take home message is that daily counts are always incorrect but at low incidence levels the true rate, though proportionally greater, is not much higher in absolute terms. Currently it is 2.5->12.5/100K per diem. But at a peak level in Brazil it is more like 30->150/100K. You are probably a greater risk to locals than vice versa. WHO formally endorsed a 3rd shot for Brazilians over age 59 that had received CoronaVac. I don’t have time to look it up more right now. It will be considered a 3-dose regimen, not a booster, assuming the additional dose is CoronaVac. Personally, I would want a mRNA booster; I don’t know how much choice they will have, or whether it will be labelled a cross-platform integral regimen or a cross-platform booster should the 3rd dose not be CoronaVac, likely the latter.

Twinks make bank.

The true COVID mortality estimated from a proportion of excess clinically comparable deaths is between 700,000 and 750,000. Like any country, there is regional variation in new case incidence. São Paulo is at about one-third the national trend. Full-regimen vaccination including boosters for older groups particularly those with the relatively leaky CoronaVac should be completed by the end of the year. If I were a betting man I would tentatively predict the next wave following Carnival. I think the height of summer there will be an opportune time to visit, all things considered. São Paulo municipality, observed tally 1,000,000 but true infection likely 5-fold that metric. The Delta VOC has completely eclipsed Gamma.

Spain to live, Brazil to travel beyond Europe.

Gigolo Erotic House (Bogotá) rehearsal(?), or Club Point 202 (Rio) solo feature … both operating: [about one minute in length] FullSizeRender.mov

Just out: in Ontario, Canada, 3 COVID deaths in fully vaccinated adults <60 yrs age from Jan-Sept. Gen pop is 15 million.

I’ve used Love Time on a few occasions. It’s fine, convenient. Many of the fellows from 117 are familiar with it and the staff are accustomed to MSM clientele. If you are booking a car to the airport be mindful to add on a bit of extra time at checkout because they send an attendant up to the room to do the snack inventory, in case you used any, to add to the bill.

*erratum: should be fortune-telling.

Eeesh … Sorry about the damages and setbacks. But as to fortune-yelling, prognosticating license plates, I thought it might be if you work part-time taking in washing, completing 8 loads of others’ laundry more quickly and efficiently will pay for one GdeP trick, and you would not charge a service task. FullSizeRender.mov

Notwithstanding the unfairness to the CSW (GdeP), isn’t this a version of ‘fool me once, fool me twice … shame on you/me’ if he went to the motel for a 2nd round of performative labor before seeing any of the thousands in cash already owed?

… engage in the hassle of price-comparing in order to try to survive on a basic subsistence income. Maybe they could take some playbook pointers on other nickel-and-diming price-fix scenarios. It could be that the example stated is an extreme outlier, but the reality holds.

One article puts him age 24, another 37?

Crossing in Iguassu seems to be a work in progress with some glitches today:

Similarly, if going directly from a smaller city to The Falls you may find the origin a bit light on RT-PCR resources. However, as Brazilians travel to nations, thru hubs, that require it I assume the testing resources exist in many places.

Good advice. OCD-grade forewarned/forearmed nuances to consider investigating … I’m not going to drill down to see if my queries are even relevant. I have done and dusted this excursion. Does earlier 1Oct date qualify for non-border nationals coming from a border country, eg American originating in Brazil? I would guess it’s based on nationality, not origin border nation, for entry from border nation to Argentina. Remember that a rapid antigen test for entry to USA is not the same as RT-PCR standard for entry to Brazil or Argentina, Canada etc. So make sure you’re getting the correct assay. Are Brazil drogarias doing the more complex RT-PCR? My take from an earlier discussion at the front end of this mandate was that specialized pricier lab-centric centres were necessary, and with anxiety-producing turnaround times. Is there an end-date ‘shelf-life’ for dates of your inoculation? Some countries define (or defined) an arbitrary temporal period. I don’t think it applies here since neither country has even achieved full vaccination to the high levels needed and which citizens are keen for. Is there an online health declaration for Argentina? BTW we Canadians had to have a purchased Visa for crossing to Argentina. And do you have to redo the online health declaration over again when crossing back to Brazil?

@Alaskabear, at the risk of coming across as tone-deaf, current record-level drought obviously with far-reaching local consequences beyond tourists’ agendas, it might be advisable to track the water levels that determine how the Falls are doing on a continuum from relative trickle to the volume that prompted Eleanor Roosevelt’s proclamation “poor Niagara!”. Spring rains might replenish but are unpredictable. These are topics arising regularly in national news. If the drought doesn’t let up, I also wonder about prospective hydro and water rationing, though access may be determined across hierarchies of privilege inequity. Personally, fortunately for me, a November cross-National 48-hr evening-to-evening visit to Iguaçu some years ago was very satisfying, full daytimes each side. My only other observation at this time is that packing in too many destinations can be qualitatively shortchanging, especially if you have future prospects for returning.

I had a peek at one of the Twitter profiles referenced … 450,400 Followers even. Update: 450,400 even.

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GarotoDePrograma rates have inflated 6.969%!

The key when getting vaccinated is to avoid this confounder … FullSizeRender.mov

Tourists today already caught off guard accessing attractions. An “international certificate” qualifies but obviously the SUS system cannot read a foreign QR matrix code so visitors must likely produce an authentic-looking vaccine attestation.

Visitors may want to figure out how to accommodate this. A done deal unless another round of political bickering. https://www.google.ca/amp/s/g1.globo.com/google/amp/rj/rio-de-janeiro/noticia/2021/09/14/passaporte-de-vacinacao-os-detalhes-da-medida-que-comeca-a-valer-nesta-quarta-feira-no-rio.ghtml

Spain opened to Brazilians 10 days ago, lifted restrictions that were in place including quarantine.

I want to invent and patent a failsafe feature for my Twitter; this means receiving a confirmation prompt for every tweet that is mistakenly sent out from the filthy Twitter profile to a recipient … say you are responding to a news article in the public domain. The prompt would require you to confirm yes I want this tweet from my filthy Twitter profile to be posted to this recipient profile. Once in a while one forgets to switch out the profile that belongs in a particular sphere. [This is a smile, not soliciting tech advice]