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MAGA is the new CRUEL. Shame on you, assholes.

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1 hour ago, Pete1111 said:

 

 

And speaking of cesspool.  There are few conservative blowhards I dislike more than Ted Cruz and Laura Ingraham.  So this is sweet.

Tell it, Lyin Ted.

 

They obviously have figured out they have a big Texas problem.  And the two cesspool buddies are whining like bitches.  Poor things!

We've all learned that polls consistently underestimate Trump's support - when he is on the ballot.  It seems to me that with midterms it is either neutral, or even that polls underestimate Democratic strength. 

2022 was expected to go badly for Democrats, and it didn't.  In 2018 I was following a bunch of Senate races I was contributing too closely.  And the polls were pretty accurate.  McCaskill in Missouri and Heitkamp in North Dakota, among others, were doing okay in the polls until the whole Kavanaugh thing started.  Which drove out the Testicle Vote in red states, but helped women in House races in blue districts.

So it ain't over until it's over.  But even without any more of a blue wave than we have right now, looks like we keep Georgia and Michigan and gain North Carolina, Ohio, Maine, and Alaska.  That's technically enough.  So Democrats don't need Texas or Iowa to have a majority.  But if something that could be called a real blue wave develops, Iowa and Texas could go blue again, too.

Kicking Ken Paxton and Ted Cruz in the balls would sure be sweet!  And since Iowa really turned solid red due to Trump, and Texas has been solid red for a long time, getting a Democrat elected to the Senate in either or both states would be a clear sign that our piece of shit POTUS that could never win 50.000000001 % is just a miserable fucking loser!

Of course, we could always send Trump to Canada, rather than prison.  Canadians seem to love Trump!  🤔

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    Actually, I am happy. My 7 year old computer, which was being glitchy for a while, finally died Friday.  So my weekend job was replacing it and reloading all the apps and passwords and bookmarks.

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    Well, let's actually look at the thru-line here. Bibi is the proponent of Genocide, the Jewish people arent, and Bibi is a friend of Trumps, and Trump hates "ethnics", so Bibi is actually doing what

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6 hours ago, stevenkesslar said:

 

And speaking of cesspool.  There are few conservative blowhards I dislike more than Ted Cruz and Laura Ingraham.  So this is sweet.

Tell it, Lyin Ted.

 

They obviously have figured out they have a big Texas problem.  And the two cesspool buddies are whining like bitches.  Poor things!

We've all learned that polls consistently underestimate Trump's support - when he is on the ballot.  It seems to me that with midterms it is either neutral, or even that polls underestimate Democratic strength. 

2022 was expected to go badly for Democrats, and it didn't.  In 2018 I was following a bunch of Senate races I was contributing too closely.  And the polls were pretty accurate.  McCaskill in Missouri and Heitkamp in North Dakota, among others, were doing okay in the polls until the whole Kavanaugh thing started.  Which drove out the Testicle Vote in red states, but helped women in House races in blue districts.

So it ain't over until it's over.  But even without any more of a blue wave than we have right now, looks like we keep Georgia and Michigan and gain North Carolina, Ohio, Maine, and Alaska.  That's technically enough.  So Democrats don't need Texas or Iowa to have a majority.  But if something that could be called a real blue wave develops, Iowa and Texas could go blue again, too.

Kicking Ken Paxton and Ted Cruz in the balls would sure be sweet!  And since Iowa really turned solid red due to Trump, and Texas has been solid red for a long time, getting a Democrat elected to the Senate in either or both states would be a clear sign that our piece of shit POTUS that could never win 50.000000001 % is just a miserable fucking loser!

Of course, we could always send Trump to Canada, rather than prison.  Canadians seem to love Trump!  🤔

So Cruz calls Talarico a communist?

The Repubs keep tossing around the term "Communist".  Does anyone besides the Cult buy into that?

 

FB_IMG_1788490884276.jpg

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4 hours ago, Pete1111 said:

The Repubs keep tossing around the term "Communist".  Does anyone besides the Cult buy into that?

It's actually fun to watch them running scared.  Especially castrated little pussy JD Vance.

I will give Trump credit for this.  If you are going to be Roy Cohn, you really want to be an incredible asshole.  It's the logic of authoritarians.  If they don't lick the shit off your ass, kill them.  Or at least be relentlessly insulting to Lyin Ted Cruz and Little Marco Rubio.  And if if you can shoot someone in the middle of 5th Ave. and get away with it, why the fuck not?  🤔

I don't get it, since I am not an authoritarian follower.

But JD Vance is a castrated little pussy compared to Trump.  The castrated little pussy has been saying for years we should be America First.  And we should not be spending blood and treasure in places like Ukraine or Iran.  And then his narcissistic amoeba brain boss invades Iran on a whim.  And the castrated little pussy says has to eat his words in public defending President Amoeba's dumb fuck impulses.  The castrated little pussy is gonna have to explain why he was the mouthpiece for a fucked up and failed war that is America Last in 2028.  Pussy!  

So the castrated little pussy boy uses Dog Whistle 101 language about how El Sayed thinks we should "have sharia law".  And how if you criticize that idea you must be a White supremacist.  And about how El Sayed is "evil" for some vague reason that better describes how Donald Trump sows hatred by pitting one group against another.  So El Sayed goes into how making health care and food unaffordable is what's really evil.

El Sayed has actually done slightly better in the polls since the castrated little pussy boy started a fight he can't win.  But that is what these losers do.  Start fights they can't win.

I think El Sayed does come off a little too cocky for his own good.  But in this case the castrated little pussy boy asked for it by calling him "evil" for allegedly doing what Vance's amoeba brain boss actually does do - constantly.

Abdul had the better insult, I think.  He just called Vance boring.

There is no evidence so far that "communist" or "evil" or "they want sharia law" is working.  It's just pussy boys using dog whistles. 

Poor Papaw can't help.  Maybe JD's momma will punch Abdul, like she said she's like to to protect her castrated pussy boy son.

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTSyZKD_c12dZjBizbdajY

On 9/4/2026 at 12:30 AM, stevenkesslar said:

It's actually fun to watch them running scared.  Especially castrated little pussy JD Vance.

I will give Trump credit for this.  If you are going to be Roy Cohn, you really want to be an incredible asshole.  It's the logic of authoritarians.  If they don't lick the shit off your ass, kill them.  Or at least be relentlessly insulting to Lyin Ted Cruz and Little Marco Rubio.  And if if you can shoot someone in the middle of 5th Ave. and get away with it, why the fuck not?  🤔

I don't get it, since I am not an authoritarian follower.

But JD Vance is a castrated little pussy compared to Trump.  The castrated little pussy has been saying for years we should be America First.  And we should not be spending blood and treasure in places like Ukraine or Iran.  And then his narcissistic amoeba brain boss invades Iran on a whim.  And the castrated little pussy says has to eat his words in public defending President Amoeba's dumb fuck impulses.  The castrated little pussy is gonna have to explain why he was the mouthpiece for a fucked up and failed war that is America Last in 2028.  Pussy!  

So the castrated little pussy boy uses Dog Whistle 101 language about how El Sayed thinks we should "have sharia law".  And how if you criticize that idea you must be a White supremacist.  And about how El Sayed is "evil" for some vague reason that better describes how Donald Trump sows hatred by pitting one group against another.  So El Sayed goes into how making health care and food unaffordable is what's really evil.

El Sayed has actually done slightly better in the polls since the castrated little pussy boy started a fight he can't win.  But that is what these losers do.  Start fights they can't win.

I think El Sayed does come off a little too cocky for his own good.  But in this case the castrated little pussy boy asked for it by calling him "evil" for allegedly doing what Vance's amoeba brain boss actually does do - constantly.

Abdul had the better insult, I think.  He just called Vance boring.

There is no evidence so far that "communist" or "evil" or "they want sharia law" is working.  It's just pussy boys using dog whistles. 

Poor Papaw can't help.  Maybe JD's momma will punch Abdul, like she said she's like to to protect her castrated pussy boy son.

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTSyZKD_c12dZjBizbdajY

May be an image of text that says '"IF TRUMP WAS A DEMOCRAT WOULD YOU STILL HATE HIM?" TRUMP WAS A DEMOCRAT, AND YES, I HATED HM THEN Too, YOU SOUP FORK. NO ONE HATES TRUMP BECAUSE HE'S A REPUBLICAN, WE HATE HIM BECAUSE HE'S A SHITTY HUMAN BEING- WHICH WAS EVIDENT LONG BEFORE HIS TIME IN POLITICS.'

On 9/4/2026 at 3:30 AM, stevenkesslar said:

It's actually fun to watch them running scared..

On 9/4/2026 at 3:30 AM, stevenkesslar said:

It's actually fun to watch them running scared.  .

It's even more fun to read the crap you post. Have your political instincts improved since November 8, 2024? How did that work out for you? LOL.
Still worshipping at the feet of your icon, Allan Lichtman? What a total embarrassment he turned out to be. Of course, not nearly as embarrassing as you, who touted him as the greatest political prognosticator of modern day. Is he still hiding in his hole? Or have you joined him in there? Not likely since even he would be too ashamed to be seen in public with a 70-year old washed up hooker.

On 9/4/2026 at 12:30 AM, stevenkesslar said:

It's actually fun to watch them running scared.  Especially castrated little pussy JD Vance.

I will give Trump credit for this.  If you are going to be Roy Cohn, you really want to be an incredible asshole.  It's the logic of authoritarians.  If they don't lick the shit off your ass, kill them.  Or at least be relentlessly insulting to Lyin Ted Cruz and Little Marco Rubio.  And if if you can shoot someone in the middle of 5th Ave. and get away with it, why the fuck not?  🤔

I don't get it, since I am not an authoritarian follower.

But JD Vance is a castrated little pussy compared to Trump.  The castrated little pussy has been saying for years we should be America First.  And we should not be spending blood and treasure in places like Ukraine or Iran.  And then his narcissistic amoeba brain boss invades Iran on a whim.  And the castrated little pussy says has to eat his words in public defending President Amoeba's dumb fuck impulses.  The castrated little pussy is gonna have to explain why he was the mouthpiece for a fucked up and failed war that is America Last in 2028.  Pussy!  

So the castrated little pussy boy uses Dog Whistle 101 language about how El Sayed thinks we should "have sharia law".  And how if you criticize that idea you must be a White supremacist.  And about how El Sayed is "evil" for some vague reason that better describes how Donald Trump sows hatred by pitting one group against another.  So El Sayed goes into how making health care and food unaffordable is what's really evil.

El Sayed has actually done slightly better in the polls since the castrated little pussy boy started a fight he can't win.  But that is what these losers do.  Start fights they can't win.

I think El Sayed does come off a little too cocky for his own good.  But in this case the castrated little pussy boy asked for it by calling him "evil" for allegedly doing what Vance's amoeba brain boss actually does do - constantly.

Abdul had the better insult, I think.  He just called Vance boring.

There is no evidence so far that "communist" or "evil" or "they want sharia law" is working.  It's just pussy boys using dog whistles. 

Poor Papaw can't help.  Maybe JD's momma will punch Abdul, like she said she's like to to protect her castrated pussy boy son.

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTSyZKD_c12dZjBizbdajY

The MAGA elite depend on their sheeple being lazy thinkers. Spoon feed the MAGA sheeple some emotionally charged pablum and they lick it up and come back for more "please sir can I have some more."

All of the foreign wars that The Great Incompetent has started seems to have eroded his base somewhat. It's amazing what is required to have some reality from Earth 1 seep through into the MAGA sheeples' brains.

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7 hours ago, EmmetK said:

Not likely since even he would be too ashamed to be seen in public with a 70-year old washed up hooker.

As always, your facts are wrong.

But you are right about one thing, Sadism Clown. Despite all the death and destruction and hate spawned by your dumb ass loser Trump, you have no shame. Absolutely none. He's a complete fucking failure. Lots of MAGA has turned against him. Most of the world has turned against America. The half of America who rejected him twice was right. Twice.

But you have no shame. You're as narcissistic as Trump.

I assume you're still behind the Genocide Jew and his mass murder too, huh? Can't have enough dead Palestinian women, can you? Or dead kids in Africa or Asia who no longer get their HIV meds, thanks to Musk and Trump?

And you wanna keep score about Allan Lichtman while Trump flails and fails? Shows what a smart Sadism Clown you are, and what your priorities are.

How many kids in Gaza and Asia are you hoping die today, Sadism Clown? You're all about The Genocide Jew still, right?

scary-clown.gif

11 hours ago, stevenkesslar said:

As always, your facts are wrong.

But you are right about one thing, Sadism Clown. Despite all the death and destruction and hate spawned by your dumb ass loser Trump, you have no shame. Absolutely none. He's a complete fucking failure. Lots of MAGA has turned against him. Most of the world has turned against America. The half of America who rejected him twice was right. Twice.

But you have no shame. You're as narcissistic as Trump.

I assume you're still behind the Genocide Jew and his mass murder too, huh? Can't have enough dead Palestinian women, can you? Or dead kids in Africa or Asia who no longer get their HIV meds, thanks to Musk and Trump?

And you wanna keep score about Allan Lichtman while Trump flails and fails? Shows what a smart Sadism Clown you are, and what your priorities are.

How many kids in Gaza and Asia are you hoping die today, Sadism Clown? You're all about The Genocide Jew still, right?

scary-clown.gif

Hey Mr. "Great political instincts", Is this the only Jew you don't hate?

The Keys to the White House: Predicting the 2024 Winner · Issue 6.4, Fall 2024

And how did that work out for you? LOL.
Note for the future: When one idiot (who thinks of himself as having "great political instincts") shows respect for the opinion of another idiot (a so-called "expert"), it is time to pack it up. You both now have ZERO credibility. Repeat: ZERO!

14 hours ago, stevenkesslar said:

As always, your facts are wrong.

But you are right about one thing, Sadism Clown. Despite all the death and destruction and hate spawned by your dumb ass loser Trump, you have no shame. Absolutely none. He's a complete fucking failure. Lots of MAGA has turned against him. Most of the world has turned against America. The half of America who rejected him twice was right. Twice.

But you have no shame. You're as narcissistic as Trump.

I assume you're still behind the Genocide Jew and his mass murder too, huh? Can't have enough dead Palestinian women, can you? Or dead kids in Africa or Asia who no longer get their HIV meds, thanks to Musk and Trump?

And you wanna keep score about Allan Lichtman while Trump flails and fails? Shows what a smart Sadism Clown you are, and what your priorities are.

How many kids in Gaza and Asia are you hoping die today, Sadism Clown? You're all about The Genocide Jew still, right?

scary-clown.gif

Best to address the lies without directly engaging - in my humble opinion. When you're walking along the street and come upon a St. Bernard's dump do you step in it, or do you safely avoid it and comment "wow that was a big shit."

It's tempting to take the hate bate.

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3 hours ago, EmmetK said:

Hey Mr. "Great political instincts", Is this the only Jew you don't hate?

Are Jewish children the only ones you don't want dead, Sadism Clown?

Trump and Musk are killing kids all over the world by taking their HIV meds away, which were provided through USAID. Even sometimes Trump ass kisser Joe Rogan acts confused and almost sorry when Bono informs him of this. "Duh! How was I supposed to know?"

But it seems to delight Sadism Clown. Sadism Clown relishes in the cruelty. How many more dead kids with HIV do you want, Sadism Clown?

And I was wondering how many seconds it would take you to go to your favorite hate trope.

If you're not for The Genocide Jew, and you're not for genocide, you hate Jews.

You're a sad cruel Jew, aren't you, Sadism Clown? You're a disgrace to your religion. You are a disgrace to ALL religion, Sadism Clown.

Saying it's wrong for Catholic priests to be pedophiles is not anti-Catholic. Saying it's wrong to embrace genocide and the Genocide Jew like you do is not anti-Jewish. Most American Jews don't support what the Genocide Jew is doing, of course. You're just a big old Jewish hater, ain't ya, Sadism Clown? You seem to love to hate.

If religion stands for anything, it ought to stand for being against genocide. You're not, Sadism Clown.

You are THE Genocide Jew lover. You love it and defend it when the Genocide Jew kills tens of thousands of kids, plus their Moms.

scary-clown.gif

How many more dead kids do you want, Sadism Clown?

Why are you so proud of your sadism and cruelty? Is that what makes you a good Jew in your sad twisted mind?

2 minutes ago, stevenkesslar said:

Are Jewish children the only ones you don't want dead, Sadism Clown?

Trump and Musk are killing kids all over the world by taking their HIV meds away, which were provided through USAID. Even sometimes Trump ass kisser Joe Rogan acts confused and almost sorry when Bono informs him of this. "Duh! How was I supposed to know?"

But it seems to delight Sadism Clown. Sadism Clown relishes in the cruelty. How many more dead kids with HIV do you want, Sadism Clown?

And I was wondering how many seconds it would take you to go to your favorite hate trope.

If you're not for The Genocide Jew, and you're not for genocide, you hate Jews.

You're a sad cruel Jew, aren't you, Sadism Clown? You're a disgrace to your religion. You are a disgrace to ALL religion, Sadism Clown.

Saying it's wrong for Catholic priests to be pedophiles is not anti-Catholic. Saying it's wrong to embrace genocide and the Genocide Jew like you do is not anti-Jewish. Most American Jews don't support what the Genocide Jew is doing, of course. You're just a big old Jewish hater, ain't ya, Sadism Clown? You seem to love to hate.

If religion stands for anything, it ought to stand for being against genocide. You're not, Sadism Clown.

You are THE Genocide Jew lover. You love it and defend it when the Genocide Jew kills tens of thousands of kids, plus their Moms.

scary-clown.gif

How many more dead kids do you want, Sadism Clown?

Why are you so proud of your sadism and cruelty? Is that what makes you a good Jew in your sad twisted mind?

Step past the steam pile of shit, and continue on with your day and your thoughts.

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4 minutes ago, stevenkesslar said:

Are Jewish children the only ones you don't want dead, Sadism Clown?

Trump and Musk are killing kids all over the world by taking their HIV meds away, which were provided through USAID. Even sometimes Trump ass kisser Joe Rogan acts confused and almost sorry when Bono informs him of this. "Duh! How was I supposed to know?"

But it seems to delight Sadism Clown. Sadism Clown relishes in the cruelty. How many more dead kids with HIV do you want, Sadism Clown?

And I was wondering how many seconds it would take you to go to your favorite hate trope.

If you're not for The Genocide Jew, and you're not for genocide, you hate Jews.

You're a sad cruel Jew, aren't you, Sadism Clown? You're a disgrace to your religion. You are a disgrace to ALL religion, Sadism Clown.

Saying it's wrong for Catholic priests to be pedophiles is not anti-Catholic. Saying it's wrong to embrace genocide and the Genocide Jew like you do is not anti-Jewish. Most American Jews don't support what the Genocide Jew is doing, of course. You're just a big old Jewish hater, ain't ya, Sadism Clown? You seem to love to hate.

If religion stands for anything, it ought to stand for being against genocide. You're not, Sadism Clown.

You are THE Genocide Jew lover. You love it and defend it when the Genocide Jew kills tens of thousands of kids, plus their Moms.

scary-clown.gif

How many more dead kids do you want, Sadism Clown?

Why are you so proud of your sadism and cruelty? Is that what makes you a good Jew in your sad twisted mind?

Well, let's actually look at the thru-line here. Bibi is the proponent of Genocide, the Jewish people arent, and Bibi is a friend of Trumps, and Trump hates "ethnics", so Bibi is actually doing what Trump encourages and endorses.... ALL roads lead back to Trump, although The Iran war WAS Bibi's idea.... Bibi finally found the accommodating stooge he was searching for for years !

But it is also no surprise that thru out history The Jews get blamed for everything, and have suffered for it....... And while Jews suffer, the anti-semites like Kunt Klown salivate.... Its just natural to who they are...... RACIST FUCKS !

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3 hours ago, EmmetK said:

You both now have ZERO credibility. Repeat: ZERO!

I can go on about this Lichtman stuff forever. I'm a political whore and a policy wonk. So here goes.

I think it is very appropriate to discuss this right now. Trump is in huge trouble with American voters. And even though they are NOT designed to assess or predict midterm elections, I think Lichtman's Keys To The Presidency help explain why Trump and Republicans are in big trouble right now.

11 minutes ago, RockyRoadTravel said:

Step past the steam pile of shit, and continue on with your day and your thoughts.

I will. Thank you. In my own mind, it is fair and appropriate to point out that Sadism Clown is not here for a policy debate, or political thought. Calling me, incorrectly, a "70 year old" washed up hooker pretty much sums up what Sadism Clown is here for. Hate, and cruelty.

But now back to our regularly scheduled political thought.

The YouTube summary describes Rich Baris as a "MAGA pollster." Baris himself, in the interview, describes himself as pretty much as MAGA as MAGA can be. In this context, my point is Rich Baris is doing his best to be like Alan Lichtman. Who is a liberal Democratic Jew with a world famous election prediction system that failed in 2024, leaving big egg on Lichtman's face. They both want to understand what is happening in American politics. And how it impacts the world.

I think you can put what Baris says here and Lichtman's Keys and 2024 together. And it helps create understanding about what people care about. Which is NOT what Sadism Clown wants. My point about Sadism Clown is he is NOT like MAGA pollster Rich Baris. Sadism Clown wants hate, not understanding. Sadism Clown understands if you can rile people up and divide them and get them to hate, you can maybe win 49 % of the vote or so.

What Baris talks about can be expressed simply in one sentence, and two words: prices, and war. Baris thinks that is what is killing Trump, including with MAGA, right now.

And, I think prices and war are what killed Biden and Harris in 2024. That's my take on what Lichtman got wrong.

Trump, by the way, thinks the same. Trump says he won in 2024 because of prices, the border, and war. Trump, of course, promised to end the Ukraine War right after the 2024 election. And not start another loser America weakening Forever War. Oops!

You can watch the Tim Baris video if you want. It's not earth shocking or anything new to people who followed how young male voters or some Latino voters or Joe Rogan moved toward Trump in 2024. And are now moving away from him fast. If Talarico wins in Texas - who I am proudly sending money to every month to help win - Baris nails why even a red state like Texas could flip. At least in 2026.

Back to Lichtman. His Keys system is based on 13 Keys. He said in Fall 2024 that Harris had 8 in her favor. Had he taken two away, it would have been just like 2016. And he would have correctly predicted a narrow Trump win, like he did in 2016.

That is a very short and sweet summary of Lichtman's 13 Keys. My own opinion is that two Keys, and Lichtman's biased interpretation of his own Keys, explain why he got 2024 wrong: short term economy, and war victory. Lichtman does not agree with me, for reasons I will go into later.

I think Lichtman was wrong about the short term economy. And this gets very geeky. I was described in a book about successful national working class homeownership programs I helped start as a "26 year old self taught data geek whose college mentor was Paul Wellstone." Guilty as charged. Unlike Sadism Clown, that author got my age - at the time - and my intentions right. So this is the same. In 2024 I actually found and watched an interview from 1992 in which Lichtman explained why Clinton would beat Bush 41. Lichtman argued, correctly, that even though the recession was over, people felt like they were in a recession. Bill Clinton would agree. It's the economy, stupid.

I watched that 1992 interview in 2024 because the contradiction bothered me. I think I may have said that in my long-winded posts in 2024. It's a detail. But in this case, a key one. Why does what Lichtman is saying in 2024 seem to contradict what he said in 1992? If it feels like a recession, it is a recession!

Trump rode that in 2024. It's the Bidenflation, stupid. I think far and away the reason Trump won was prices, and Bidenflation. Trump has said the same, repeatedly. I think Lichtman proved that, as useful as his system is, it is subjective. And we all have biases.

Ukraine is harder. I got around my own doubts about Lichtman in 2024 by saying Harris has 2 Keys in her favor. So even if he is wrong about the economy Key, she should still win. The other Key that is worthy of debate, especially now, is Key 13: "The White House party has major foreign policy success." Lichtman argued that Ukraine was a Biden victory, or at least would be in the long run. Was it?

I think that is very shades of grey. Like many Americans, I was stunned and disgusted in early 2025 when Trump threw Ukraine under the bus. And Trump seemed to get down on his knees to suck Putin's cock. You can make all kinds of arguments about why he did that. Personally, it disgusted me. But I know even in my own family there is this "America First" thing that my Reaganite Dad would disapprove of, were he still alive. America SHOULD help promote democracy and help countries like Ukraine, my WW2 veteran Dad thought. He spent his life being proud that he, and America, beat the Nazis. Lots of MAGA people do not agree with my Reagan loving dead Dad. Including a few of his own beloved grandchildren.

As it relates to 2024, there's a great argument that Ukraine was not a Biden/Harris foreign policy success. Take that and the economy away, and Harris should have lost. And she did.

As it relates to 2026, the Iran fiasco has now settled the question, in my mind. Ukraine was a very divisive issue. Trump's win in 2024 did prove that many Americans are not on board with the idea that it is America's job to defend countries like Ukraine. Or even defend NATO. But now Trump is suffering from the very fires and divisions he stoked. Which is, again, what Sadism Clown loves. Fire. Hate. Division. Now Trump has to contend with the fact that millions of his own voters in 2024 feel he lied to them. He did not lower prices. He did not end a Forever War. He started a new one. Which America is losing. The world is quickly turning against America.

That is what "MAGA pollster" Baris says in the interview above. Maybe he will be wrong, like Lichtman in 2024. We'll see.

Either way, I am proud I sent money to Sherrod Brown in 2024, even if he lost. If he loses again in 2026, I'll be proud again. Since he ran both times, and he is a poster child for a pro-union and pro-working class Democrat, losing in 2024 and winning in 2026 in reddish Ohio would be a pretty good thumbnail about what changed. It's about the working class, stupid.

I'll wind down by taking a dig at Lichtman. The one thing that really turned me off about Lichtman was his interpretation of why he was wrong. It would have been noble to eat some humble pie, and say we all have our biases. Instead he basically blamed it on stupid voters being misled. To me, it reinforced the stereotype that Democratic liberal (and often Jewish) academics will speak down to the working class and explain to them why they are stupid and wrong.

I think Lichtman's Keys are very useful, and as valid as ever. Early in his career he did try to come up with some system to predict other races, and never came close. To me, it all proves that this is subjective stuff. Even what "recession" means is subjective, now more than ever. But Lichtman and Baris are on to what matters to voters, I think. It helps me understand why Trump barely won in 2024, with less than 50 % of the vote. And why he will get clobbered now, probably.

If there is a lesson for guys like Paul Wellstone or Sherrod Brown or El Sayed who want to be US Senators to take away, it's simple: "It's the working class, stupid!" But the reason these guys tend to win is they got the memo.

And, by the way, Sadism Clown is right. I do have a problem with Jews like Paul Wellstone, and his values. My problem is that more people, especially Sadism Clown, don't exhibit the warmth of heart and compassion for Americans - or immigrants - that Wellstone did. He spoke often about how HIS values were based on his immigrant Jewish ancestors who fled TO America. That is the America most Americans want. Not the America of cruel and hateful Donald Trump, and his Grift Family, which is the world his loyal Sadism Clown wants.

Who we are:

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Who we were:

And, no. We won't ever see Trump's face on Mount Rushmore.

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1 hour ago, Suckrates said:

And NOW, a moment for a Hassan Piker palate cleanser !

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Sorry to spoil it with the image on the left, Sis.

I was unaware of Piker until his connection with El Sayed moved him front and center. My bad. I was also unaware of his physical transformation and decision to lose weight. Kudos to him.

I've probably spent 15 minutes listening to anything Piker has to say. I've spent more than that reading what other people think about what he has to say. Like whether he is anti-Semitic or anti-American.

So far, I get more impressed with him the more I learn. One way to summarize his message is, "Get smart about politics. And lose weight." Democrats do have a problem with young men. If guys like Piker and El Sayed who like lifting weights help address that, more weights!

Maybe Zohran will even get the memo. As well hung as he is, according to you, he could beef up a little.

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