Riobard

Right, understood. But there are an additional few weeks of mortality data and that was the basis of my point about temporal periods. You are bang on the money in assessing and illustrating that the program read “current” from the question posed and then confounded cumulative and recent. The problem is that both cumulative data and recent data are current while the former combines the historical with the latest, net historical because a minute ago is history. The output can only be as good as the framing of the inquiry.

And absolute weekly number of Thailand deaths has since halved, so I wouldn’t compare the mortality rate between two nations according to population denominators based on as short a period as one week. Besides, the only reason mortality was raised, essentially a nothing-burger tangent that was meant to dismiss the implications of infection during a holiday, was to throw a curve into the inquiry. It wasn’t a question about the worst possible outcome or the quality of epidemiological surveillance.

China and Hong Kong incidence trending down from a recent peak. In that same period Singapore was trending upwards but the pattern in the broader region has been a shortlived surge. A risk tolerance of 25% infection event probability sets the estimate person contact number as 8, pared down from the 25 I previously outlined as associated with 60% risk. I can update briefly from the next bulletin first week of July.

Certainly valuable as an adjunct to the agenda of prevalence estimation and stratification of predominant variants. And fecally fascinating. Moreover, the same samples can be utilized for flu and RSV shedding and Canada does that surveillance with consistently up to date ratings. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436524000549?ref=pdf_download&fr=RR-2&rr=956968a7b901a2b6

If a Medicine student I’m research mentoring produced this quality of reporting they would be going back to the drawing board after disposing of the stinking trash heap produced by the ill-advised AI attempt.

I follow bi-weekly WHO epi bulletins and I translate to exposure risk based on established algorithms that adjust for case contagion period and incidence ascertainment bias. Incidence in Thailand surged early May but has since settled to about half that recent curve peak. For Thailand mid-June, not adjusted for regional variation, your interaction with 25 individuals on any given day means an exposure risk of 60%. Obviously that does not guarantee viral transmission. If you want to lower that risk metric to a set value you need to tell me what your risk tolerance is in percentage terms and I can compute what rule of thumb to employ regarding number of contacts. These would be contacts in which common sense in terms of physical proximity would guide you behaviourally. Mortality is trending at about 1 in 2,000 cases, .05%, or less if the true incidence denominator is underestimated.

I’ve witnessed it with patients that objected following review board greenlighting of tube feeding but did not want the imposition of restraints and were invasively nourished with acute care setting visual supervision. It’s unimaginably horrible, usually a losing battle no more than palliative. I suspect restraints will be applied in this case because the patience of less intrusive monitoring will wear thin and his status unfortunately evokes little public sympathy.

Let me guess … you must have discount-prompted robust tumescence just even writing this. Not that I lack appreciation, as what some folks are keen about as representative of a small minority can helpfully steer others, the majority, in different directions. Although the apparent obscured visibility Monday factor for others could help matters on the pythetic front. Me, I prefer them looking good and feeling good. By all means see for yourself the novelty and checking it out is cheap but, guys, you’re not going to want to spend your hard-earned cash on interactive play on Brig Luís Antônio upon the extensive effort of travelling all that distance.

117 is newly describing Wednesdays as inclusive of a ‘darkroom’, I assume the easily identifiable existing central area. Also free suites as other attempts to beef up Wednesday attendance with discounts have not been effective. I would take this as license on any operating day for some degree of erotic play without censure. However, my visits are extensive enough for the long game of setting up contacts with Tuesday trade.

I expect that was due to the Pride crowd. I’ve enjoyed a bite there on several occasions but have not noticed much eye candy of note. Perhaps more in the wee hours when I’m asleep.

The escorts are not physically attractive; on that basis alone the place is Pythetic. Don’t go by another’s taste. I realize that includes me but I do have venue comparison referencing behind my perspective. Otherwise, it can be enjoyable as an outing and you may intercept one of the buff show performers for more private entertainment if you haven’t figured out other plentiful options in the city. There is a large residential complex adjacent to it and growing protest regarding the typical music noise encroaching on inhabitants’ tranquillity. When it comes to some of these venue operators stupid is as stupid does.

Misery loves company more than wants to be talked out of it.

I received an inquiry about application timelines and a request to clarify misinformation posed by another contributor. In reality, however, the timeline should not be a problem if you give yourself ample time. I was also asked my take on passport expiry and now decided to add that an associate applied online 6 months plus a week prior to the anticipated approval date. There was an adjustment required on their uploads that was resolved in a little over a week. They then received a notice that their remaining passport shelf life in the interim had fallen short of the obligatory 6 months, and were denied further processing in spite of having initiated the timing application in good faith. They need to rebook travel pending a new passport. An applicant can conceivably receive the e-visa on a Sunday because it is directed by VFS Global, following the consulate vetting stage, when they resume transfers from their headquarters in Asia on Monday. I believe that there is a temporal phenomenon commonly known as time zones, a lazy Sunday afternoon here yet a popular Mamas & Papas song imminent elsewhere.

New twist: CSAM-related charges dropped in conjunction with a guilty plea for a new charge of enticement of a minor, 2422(b). The shift seems to have been very impromptu and one wonders if it emerged from a co-felon’s information, as it is established that another person known to Smith, also charged and turned informant, gave the FBI permission to use his devices for reeling in Smith. Perhaps a youth came forward. [caveat: only supposition]. In reality, the bundle of dropped pornography charges alone may have resulted in a similar length of sentence that is associated with the enticement charge. Next step I suppose pre-sentencing evaluation. Significant prison time expected. No charges related to actual in-person sexual interaction with a minor. If procurement led to actual physical sexual interference of a minor there may be another culpable adult facing charges. No apparent charges related to sexual abuse images specific to the one youth. Evidently the child age 15, but interestingly this criminal statute applies to up to age 17 irrespective of state age of consent specificity, and the circumstances defining illegal sexual activity would relate to prostitution intent, prohibited sexual activity, or both. The latter likely interpretable according to age below age 16, yet age of consent variance by state 16-18 suggesting that prostitution may not necessarily have been implicated in Smith’s case because age alone is a sufficient criterion and the federal statute threshold seems to be below age 18. But where there’s procurement in a context already commodified money is typically involved. That said, perhaps evidence of compensation offered that subsequently never occurred or cannot be verified after the fact may satisfy the criterion of recruitment for prostitution purposes? Even more interestingly, enticing an adult definitionally legal of any age … 2422(a) … also carries a heavy penalty even absent the age-based prohibition, in a jurisdiction where prostitution is criminalized. This suggests that attempting to engage an adult, where consent doesn’t seem vitiated from your point of view, in paid sexual favours can technically culminate in not that many degrees of separation from the types of justin-fiable consequences born by Smith. Perhaps such awareness publicly brought forward will discourage punters from traceable recruitment of “boys”, “twinks”, what have you, let alone fishing for transactional sex with adult males in general. Surely where evidence is communication- centred the choice of terms shapes the intent that authorities attribute to you.

I was midway in lodgings on a pleasant hilltop square, so walked to Pelourinho as well as 11 since those distances were both quite short. The hotel is now basically a senior’s and convalescence residence called Lar Sênior but it takes shorter-stay tourists as well though not through third party lodgings platforms. It’s best, however, to balance out part of a stay at a city beach location and use Uber. ScreenRecording_06-25-2025 17-12-12_1.mov

At least the meal items and seat comfort are exactly as shitty as you expect.

Getting a quote is not relatable to all within the dynamics of transactions. You can always just communicate what the price is, that is, what you’ll pay for the fun you seek. If you over-describe what that fun entails you are setting yourself up for a quote you may not have intended to solicit because you are assigning value on a continuum. I find that being circumspect, that is, labeling what is sought is merely low level fun, yields a really fun time with mutual satisfaction in terms of the respective benefits aimed for. With finances out of the way and out of mind there is a tendency for a naturalistic and instinctive behavioural progression to occur. Unfortunately for some, buying into the notion that sex means taking away something important from another messes it up. The distinction between adult MSM and heterosexuality and paedophilia need not be so blurred. It’s somewhat on punters seeking adult male trade, though in fairness to punters there is a Western tendency to overvalue sexual favours irrespective of adult consensual groupings and categories, as reflected in exorbitant commercial sex worker fees. If sex were that complicated for Brazilian men there wouldn’t be so many candidates hanging around to make a few bucks on it. It’s not as if you have to search for a little cardboard tag on a looped string with numbers depicted on it. It’s not as if all the other punters are holding up auction bid paddles for the trade to peruse. Knowing what’s fair from both perspectives is all that’s required. If you habitually ask you will inevitably be a candidate for describing among the relatively most outrageous amounts because you will encounter outlier answers. You are implicitly conveying that you lack awareness of fairness. If you correlate price with satisfaction after the fact it suggests you didn’t stick within a particular range; the range could actually be small enough to render correlation meaningless. I have no idea how to render this association because the cost range is too narrow. In contrast, all things equal, there is a natural tendency to rank pricier things lower in quality because there is a correlation between price and expectations. For some here, a matter of a few dollars and cents will invoke a satisfaction rating far more complex than merited. I wouldn’t be inclined to follow their lead. But it doesn’t matter what I think because the venues will still be loaded with the ubiquitous semi-hushed phrase “Quantos reais?”, oddly expressed by punters so anxious about highway robbery that they get muddled and call them reals.

https://www.euronews.com/next/2025/06/22/takes-away-our-safest-option-adult-creators-react-to-law-banning-online-sex-purchases-in-s#:~:text=The new updated legislation makes,for up to one year.

Yes, Planetario is a previous name for Clube 11 and it is misleading that there are two venues across the street from each other. The maps present distorted information and that explains why I have provided ample detail beyond how venues are pinned. From what I understand any business has to map their location through a business account registration within various map apps such as Google. Perhaps the owners have tried but the map platform itself may struggle with the street number anomalies previously described.

Several men, yes. I fail to understand the labelling of models as boys, particularly as there is an age requirement for such platforms. Sweden, in fact, is now first out of the gate criminalizing client subscribers of particular online erotic transactions with adults although it may be more a ‘Nordic model’ statement than practically enforceable. Surely we can keep the language non-adjacent with paedophilia in order to support the cause of legitimizing above board commercial sex work. I have both subscribed and met in person several men within the Global West and South America Onlyfans accounts, and in Brazil a platform of similar concept called Privacy (www dot privacy dot com dot br). That said, it’s not always the entry point for an introduction but often just one component of social media presence or the profile accompanies an advertisement conveying more explicit agenda. Bear in mind that the model platforms take 20% of all subscription rates and gratuities. I haven’t texted much and have not pushed boundaries on Onlyfans or Privacy but there are communication rules since they understandably want to distance from the notion of prostitution. What I spend barely grazes the surface of my overall play budget. In several cases there are ways and means for searching in advance the scope of content. The kicker beyond obscured range of “XXX” content is that some videos (and photos!) may be pay-per-view, a cash cow for the “shareholders”. Onlyfans itself doesn’t encourage explicit content, so if you are prone to feeling hoodwinked or inflexible about what is subjectively of interest to you, just don’t use it. Some of the content seeps into X, etc, anyway, or social media platforms steer viewers to Onlyfans or Privacy. Also remember that any monthly subscription is on renewal autopilot so you need to disable it within your account settings or your payment mode will be charged month to month.

Got my e-visa earlier in the year. Fast, 2 business days following VFS submission the printed visas in hand, and excellent stage updates from the platform. Final consulate clearance is down on weekends. Any forthcoming changes have no bearing on my visitor privileges. I’m legal, as are my tourism targets in status and appearance. Good night, and good luck with the procedure. *Not returning to this thread* —- If I were to provide a few tips that might be useful in speedy CPF acquisition, these are: My consulate would absolutely not budge in the requirement of a formal birth registration document that included both parents’ names. A legal birth certificate in my country does not include such unless that version is specifically requested. I was able to fast track a certified original copy, with tons more data than the wallet size format, from the relevant national archives for a higher than usual fee. The online CPF application through Itamaraty consular services, for which you register with email and password, is in Portuguese. There are 3 address fields. The expected term might be ‘endereço’ but it translates to public place. That is where you enter your street name only. The second box is to enter street number and the third box for unit number if relevant, or leave blank. You must enable pop-up function on your server. I think I had it disabled for Safari and Chrome without knowing and then toggled the reverse for both for good measure. If it is disabled the application platform won’t yield the electronic document in which your data and application reference code are depicted. It is called FCPF and the reason it relies on pop-up function is that the completed application does not get sent to you by email, in contrast to other types of documents for which you are accustomed to email communication. My consulate requires an in-person appearance to complete and issue the CPF but it happens to be walkable for me. Bonne chance.

As do I, in a bun dance whenever presented, as well as pre and post.

We could ignore too, but it’s just simpler for all if we don’t have to be exposed to endless update bulletins you provide about your private correspondence and how it impacts on your fee-fees within a thread that you purport shouldn’t exist anyway. Perhaps he doth protest much while actually thriving on drama.

Welp you can add your frivolous dig, regarding my desire to correct my misleading statement about visa protocol, to the itty bits of attention you desperately seek on a middling chat board where you absolutely have to consistently crowd the table seating. At the same time you criticize vexatious conflict as boring you have no compunction about instigating and you evidently thrive on it. There’s invariably a you. Swat.