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khaolakguy

Possible Thai Military Coup on the way

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Posted

Thai PM seems to have shot herself in the foot by deferring to Cambodians over recent border issues in a leaked call. 

She is due to have a meeting with the criticised Thai General, which might be awkward. 

History suggests that Shinawatra disputes with the army do not end well for the Shinawatras.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/20/thai-prime-minister-paetongtarn-shinawatra-apologises-phone-leak-crisis-cambodia-hun-sen

Posted

There is certainly tension within the government over the Prime Minister's total stupidity in assuming her phone call to Hun Sen from a mobile phone would be completely private. Has she not learned from a host of world leaders over the years whose supposedly private talks often have a habit of being overheard and then leaked to the media? It is perhaps just one mark of her total lack of experience to be Prime Minister. After all, she was only put into the position due to her father's party being the largest one in the coalition of several parties that make up Thailand's present government. And after the powers-that-be had wangled a way to get rid of the duly elected Prime Minister Pita Limjaroenrat and banned his Move Forward party.

The PM is now saying that all her coalition partners stand behind her. All but one, that is, for last week one of her major partners, the Bhumjaithai Party, pulled out of the government. That party held 69 seats. Other parties are hanging on for now, but may pull out any day soon. That will give the PM little option other than to resign, face a vote of no confidence or a call for the dissolution of parliament and new elections.

And that is not her only concern. Following a petition he received at the end of last week, the Senate Speaker Mongkol Surasajja has asked the National Anti-Corruption Commission to investigate her over the Hun Sen episode. He has also asked the Constitutional Court to terminate her premiership in accordance with four articles in the Constitution. Members of the Senate Military Affairs Commission accused the PM in their petition of being "dishonest" and "committing acts of gross ethical misconduct."

Could this lead to a coup? In Thailand's murky politics absolutely nothing can be ruled out, but I think it is unlikely in the first instance. 

https://world.thaipbs.or.th/detail/senate-to-seek-paetongtarns-removal-as-prime-minister/57930

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