Are We Now Closer To World War III?

[Moses]

10 minutes ago, unicorn said:

Russia is still ultimately responsible, of course

[Moses]

ChatGPT's correction of probabilities

[Moses]

Current Grok's AI calculation:
 

[PeterRS]

23 hours ago, PeterRS said:

What forum "rules"? It is your Board with its handful of posters that has banned political topics - but clearly you are too busy writing your own litany of lurid lies here on this Board that you forgot.

I note among your wealth of trivia responding to others that you have not replied to my question. What forum rules?

[PeterRS]

On 9/17/2025 at 8:25 AM, PeterRS said:

I note among your wealth of trivia responding to others that you have not replied to my question. What forum rules?

I note you have still not responded! Where are the forum rule here that you quoted? It doesn't exist!

And for that matter, you have also not replied to the quesion why on your sawatdee site you claim that it is "the most popular gay forum on Thailand and South East Asia." That is complete nonsense but you continue to use it. Why? Why lie?

And why state "most popular?" As of 11:30 am today in Thailand, that site has had all of four posts in total today. Yesterday there was a total of 8. I am sure the dozen or so regular posters enjoy their contributions, which is great. And it is great that the site exists when there have been times when it looked like it might not be able to continue. So @Moses should be thanked for ensuring it continues. But the truth is the truth, and @Moses I regret to say is quite a stranger to that word judging by many of his posts here.

[Moses]

1 hour ago, PeterRS said:

I note you have still not responded!

Dear, are you an interrogator?

I have no obligations to you, and I am free to choose when, how, and what to answer. If (!) I so choose, not all of your questions are worth answering. And your personal attacks are certainly worthy of occasional ignoring – simply for the sake of educating and instilling good forum manners: forum sections exist for the purpose of posting within the section's scope.

[floridarob]

If marriage isn't in the air, maybe you guys could go to couples therapy?

[PeterRS]

On 9/13/2025 at 2:58 PM, Moses said:

PeterPS is so desperate for attention that it ignores the forum rules and posts political topics in this section in order to get attention.

Let's be perfectly clear what you wrote. I quote verbatim above. You have consistently lied about the situation in Ukraine and elsewhere. Now you lie about what is permitted and what is not permitted on this Board. To refresh your errant memory, the decription of what the Beer Bar exists for is -

"Open to general topics not covered elsewhere including Current Events, Politics, Religion, Movies and other topics."

You mention the forum's scope and imply again that politics is not covered. Wrong! Now will you tell us once and for all that you have lied? Or once again will you wiggle out of the truth and admit you made it all up (almost certainly in this case) or you came up with some Putin prescribed fiction like many of your other posts?

[vinapu]

9 hours ago, Moses said:

..... I am free to choose when, how, and what to answer. If (!) I so choose, not all of ..... questions are worth answering. And ... personal attacks are certainly worthy of occasional ignoring – simply for the sake of ....... instilling good forum manners........

as much as I hate agreeing with you , this time I fully do, at least to universal part of your post as I edited above  removing reference to poster you responded to .

 

[unicorn]

12 hours ago, Moses said:

...I have no obligations to you, and I am free to choose when, how, and what to answer...

Although it's the case that you don't have to answer a question posited by another poster while having a discussion, if you don't then you essentially concede to being a bullshitter. Not that this has ever bothered you. Reminds me of Kash Patel's bullshitting to Congress:

 

[unicorn]

7 hours ago, PeterRS said:

...Now will you tell us once and for all that you have lied? ...

If I had a Ruble for every time Moses has lied on this forum, I'd be richer than Elon Musk. His silence is as close as you'll get to an admission of his BS. And, yes, he was obviously BS'ing. As for getting him to admit to his lies (even when caught red-handed, such as in this instance, and in many others), much less apologize, you're more likely to hear the lions outside of New York's public library roar. 

[PeterRS]

9 hours ago, unicorn said:

As for getting him to admit to his lies (even when caught red-handed, such as in this instance, and in many others), much less apologize, you're more likely to hear the lions outside of New York's public library roar.

Love the analogy. Can almost hear their roars here in Bangkok.

[Moses]

Two gossiping babushki

[unicorn]

30 minutes ago, Moses said:

Two gossiping babushki

И один большой лжец.

[PeterRS]

1 hour ago, Moses said:

Two gossiping babushki

Ha! That's rich coming from a тот, кто говорит ложь. 

[unicorn]

Though it's probably high time to make an announcement that any military incursion into NATO airspace will result in that military plane being shot down. The Turks had the right idea when they shot down the last Russian military plane which violated its airspace.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czrp6p5mj3zo

Estonia has requested a consultation with other Nato members after Russian warplanes violated its airspace on Friday morning. Three Russian MiG-31 fighter jets entered the Estonian skies "without permission and remained there for a total of 12 minutes" over the Gulf of Finland, the government said. Italy, Finland and Sweden scrambled jets under Nato's mission to bolster its eastern flank. A Nato spokesperson said it was "yet another example of reckless Russian behavior and Nato's ability to respond".

[unicorn]

It looks as though Poland has completely closed down the borders with Belarus, and, presumably, Russia (I don't know if Kaliningrad can get goods other than by sea). Maybe a complete ban on all visas, including tourist ones, for all EU countries will be next? Unclear how Austria and Ireland will react, since they're EU but not NATO.

 

[PeterRS]

It is starting to look as though an all-out war may be on the horizon - but between which parties? We know about Russia and its continuing invasion of Ukraine - an incursion which Putin said would take days and that was all of three-and-a-half years ago. It is also 20 years ago that Putin offered this advice - 

if Ukraine wanted to join NATO, "we will respect their choice, because it is their sovereign right to decide their own defence policy, and this will not worsen relations between our countries" 

But of course that was at a time when the President and parliament of Ukraine were in Putin's pocket. The election of Zelensky and the reality of the possibility of Ukraine actually joining NATO completely changed all that! Putin has turned turtle! But he is still left with a problem entirely of his own making. The British Ministry of Defence recently stated that Russia has lost one million men killed or injured since the Ukraine war started. Even allowing for over-inflating figures for propaganda purposes, the independent Russian outlet Mediazona has identied the names of more than 110,000 killed. But it believes actual figures are much higher.

The problem for NATO countries is that if it were to come to war with Russia, Putin could play the nuke card. He has thousands, many presumably already aimed at European capitals. Against that only Britain and France have a total of around 500 warheads. If tactical nukes were used, would an ultra-right wing Trump administration fulfil its duties under the NATO Alliance by standing by all other NATO countries, knowing that Russia also has the capability of bombing many major American cities? Personally I would doubt it.

On the other hand, to resort to nukes would certainly anger some of Russia's allies, especially China. Even a limited nuclear war close to its territory would be anathema to the geriatrics in Beijing. So Putin definitely has a problem as his aircraft without any warnings fly over NATO airspace. One or more will surely soon be shot down. 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2025/jun/22/one-million-and-counting-russian-casualties-hit-milestone-in-ukraine-war

[Moses]

15 hours ago, unicorn said:

Estonia has requested a consultation with other Nato members after Russian warplanes violated its airspace on Friday morning.

And again: zero proof. Russia has radar traceroute confirmed what Estonian airspace wasn't touched...

Just one more lie from Western propaganda...

All we know, what British "highly likely" means "it is lie, but we want you trust it"...

[Moses]

7 hours ago, PeterRS said:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2025/jun/22/one-million-and-counting-russian-casualties-hit-milestone-in-ukraine-war

One more example of British lie: real causalities are below 200K, and that is confirmed by BBC (I wonder why they saying truth?)