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Riobard

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Everything posted by Riobard

  1. I was surprised to get a quote for $5 million coverage for medical expenses in the destination country, irrespective of location, no deductible, senior age but no pre-existing health conditions, $180 Canadian for 15 days.
  2. Her high school is a few blocks from where I live in Montreal. I expect Trump will clutch at straws and substitute Canada for Kenya.
  3. Well, it’s Brazil and novel coronavirus ... em breve can mean someone coming soon on your face or can mean doors that have not decided to give up and never open up. It could be costly to put extra sudden investment in opening a place that was built from the ground up when the phased lifting of lockdown measures is so experimental. Turning on amenities/utilities, hiring staff, etc, figuring out the allowable capacity when it might never have actually truly calculated baseline capacity, planning social distancing and determining if the position of patrons relative to stage dancers meets specifications. But I suspect the property is owned without the pressure of a lease. Like the new Fragata, I think biding time.
  4. Hahahaha @bcdaron, you just wanna showcase to the locals your morning barista skills and your fluffy absorbent robes whose colour matches their gorgeous eyes.
  5. The US embassy in Brasilia does not want Americans visiting Brazil at this time. Level 4 Travel Advisory (Do Not Travel) Level 3 CDC Travel Health Advisory
  6. That’s a good boy, come on, fetch me a vaccine vial. Atta boy ... what a smart Siberian! Yes you are oh yes you are.
  7. Appears Adriel doing here a little practice run on the stage. The place has continued to progress in its development very slowly but the project is not abandoned. He says doors open logo logo (soon). Bear in mind that it has only been a few days since the state has allowed the 6 evening hours of opening.
  8. ... or barefacing? bareinhalation? bareresuscitation? baresnogging? barethroatsinging? baresalivaswapping? SARS-CoV-2 is very contagious. By comparison, HIV transmissibility is wimpy. Q: How much hanky-panky, currently in Brazil, that results in Covid-19 accompanied by rapid onset severe morbidity and/or death, is required for comparable probability to HIV infection via one incident of receptive anal intercourse with a poz untreated partner, without PrEP or PEP (1.4%)? A: If one canoodles with 17 lads of unknown CoV contagion status, one is 25% likely to meet exposure criteria with at least one partner within this set of conquests. As about 5% suffer significant illness that may culminate in death, the combined probability is 1.25%, similar to the single bareback encounter 1.4%. You need to fool around with a lot more guys, like almost 20 times as many, to risk serious illness or death from Covid-19 while travelling compared to the number of unsuppressed HIV-infected guys it takes to bareback fuck you there once and transmit HIV. Though the latter is treatable and accelerates slowly; there the analogy weakens.
  9. Similar mindsets, @davet. LOL. I usually position myself where I can see the GdePs dressed and I tend to become obsessed over hot ones in their clothing sitting with clients and friends but not (yet) circulating for programas. I also am known to ask the guy to get dressed before commencing private time, usually a minimum 1-hour block. All that said, I would not consider myself fetishistic; it’s more about the progression of choreography. I tend not, ahem, to be looking at their eyes.
  10. I don’t want to highjack the thread but I also don’t want a new one. I meant to indicate, regarding neck gaiters, not a regular run-of-the-mill version as assessed in the study, but one manufactured to the same particle-blocking specifications as a properly layered face mask. They have come up in my social media feeds. And I would only recommend it to sleep in travel if other options are too uncomfortable. I don’t have a problem sleeping with a front-line health care grade mask. Further to that, I have a background in medical science research methods specific to infectious diseases and I won’t be getting on a flight anytime soon, but everybody needs to do their own risk calculation and there is no lack of guiding information in the public domain. Generally, though, professionals in the field are not in a rush to fly. Additionally, if you plan to be intimate with trade the quality hierarchies of transmission mitigation may not figure as prominently in the debate. Some people are compliant without complete buy-in. Alternatively, apply the highest level of inconvenient and uncomfortable infection prevention outside of sex to compensate for exposure risk during sex.
  11. Better ...
  12. Almost cringeworthy. Think I prefer the good old-fashioned executioner’s hood on a guy.
  13. I am curious about the clothing playbook. Is it due to the providers’ locker space being so small, essentially the worst kind of pinch-point? That said, what was the relation between customers and their change-room?, as it is also crowded if 5 or 6 in there simultaneously. I have been there several times so I can visualize the venue. Were clients in streetclothes? Or is it perhaps a hassle for the club, the additional step of disinfecting lockers following use? Can you use a locker for your knapsack, shoes, etc? Those clever Belgians. A bit creepy-looking a solution for Brazilian trade masks but ... unless you can get photos from the guys thru your device on the spot. [Oops, it won’t paste here. They are photos of your face that get printed on the lower part of the cloth mask that obscures it.]
  14. What comes down must go up. CoV has its own law of physics. The curve must drop to 7/100K daily (14 on the graph because these estimates double the reported rates). It looks like with successful mitigation that could happen in about 7 weeks yet swing up again past the disqualification threshold soon after, even if the population is compliant with masks. Of course, predictions are just that. However, USA got so out of control that a normal abatement may not dip low enough to keep a subsequent uptick to the level that Germany current dictates. Most places are bracing for some degree of Fall resurgence.
  15. In another month the exposure risk will be considerably greater than the calculations I just posted. Brazil’s logarithmic graph of new incidence is the steepest in the world. There is even a high probability of at least one infected person in sequestered business class departing from Brazil, assuming the passenger collective is representative of local CoV prevalence. I doubt that this information is being disseminated to airline crew, particularly if they layover rather than turnaround. They otherwise apply onboard universal precautions but may not be aware of the enormous risk out and about in the community. [Image below not log-depicted but shows the speed of increments of 1 million]
  16. My father was open-minded and unconditionally loving but I still think I would have shocked him to death honouring his special day wearing sexy briefs and a gay pageant sash. Not that I could nearly have pulled that off (no analogy intended). Filter is everything ... just sayin’. LOL
  17. Exposure risk per CoV-negative individual is increasing based on incidence rolling averages. It is 50% chance of contagion and viral acquisition for contact with 43 locals, 25% chance for contact with 17 locals, and 10% for contact with 6 locals. Obviously alters with regional prevalence. If you are in Brazil for 2 weeks, there is a very high probability of being infected if you are randomly in the personal contagion radius of just a handful of locals per day whose current infection status is unknown. But I am sure your airlines are advising you of these realities prior to clicking ‘confirm purchase’. It is highly recommended to quarantine after returning home, even if not legally obligatory.
  18. I assume Brazil Health Theatre is a tongue-in-cheek term and we will be reading some specific bat-crap cray-cray anecdotal reports from you on the ground that have yet to go viral.
  19. The gaiter mask probably has enough material to pull up over the eyes.
  20. It’s not the 7-day average ... it is the 7-day tally, 114per100K for USA, well above the 50per100K threshold. It is, however, more lenient than the initial EU cut-off for red zones, 8per100K.
  21. Riobard

    AGT karma

    Karma, SC, just karma ..
  22. How very sweet. Infelizmente it is not currently in the cards to play the role of Daddy.
  23. Air Canada resumes Toronto - São Paulo in a few weeks. Only Canadians can fly back but have an equal chance with the general population to contract CoV while visiting, maybe even greater if proportionately less community precautions compared to the average local. The probability of at least one contagious passenger when leaving Canada is 16.4%; when returning is 99.3% ... it is a very large aircraft, 268 + 30. I corrected the Canadian prevalence by a factor of X4.0 and the Brazilian prevalence by a factor of X5.33, according to research on true estimates. The respective passenger risk estimates for USA and Brazil are obviously more similar to each other although USA is trending down in new incidence while Brazil continues to trend up, so one can expect Brazil:USA probability ratio to increase. All of this of course assumes passengers are representative of national case prevalence. At this point the 2-week quarantine for returning Canadians remains obligatory. I do not know if Americans can transit through Pearson International remaining airside. I think it is possible. You would have to check with Canada Border Services. You can drive to Alaska as long as you not dawdle. I am not aware if Air Canada is ‘red-listing’ by passport; I doubt it. Anyway, this is just a word to the wise; I am not looking into it. Canada’s tourism GDP is 6%. The travel and tourist sectors are having a hell of a time getting the government to budge and try reciprocity even with countries whose infection management measures are showing better effectiveness.
  24. Sally was correct, Charlie Brown. Already staff and student cases.
  25. At least two island nations that opened a few weeks ago may have experienced a failed experiment.
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