Riobard

Greetings, fellows. I am not sifting through previous reports, so some of this info may be redundant. I have been to Lagoa a few times this winter.

A lazy dick requires an industrious mouth and creative mind.

Nicely done; well organized, informative, and interesting. I am impressed how much you packed into such a short time, 12is12.

Much will depend on the ‘severity pyramid’. The mortality rate is more influenced by intensive care sustainability than baseline vulnerability to acuteness, eg, age, co-morbidity. In other words, the current mortality rate is attenuated by complex ICU care for a much higher percentage of infected persons than the mortality rate is inflated by vulnerability factors for the percentage that ultimately succumbs. This is not just 2-3% of those infected dropping dead on the street outside the context of complex care. I believe the hospital admission rate is about 20%, way way higher than typical non-pandemic flu seasons. Pre Covid-19 ICU/ventilator expenditures already account for greater than 10% of total health care costs. If the level of virulence persists and prevalence escalates, one may not be overestimating worry about capacity in terms of high quality pull-out-the-stops intervention. The figures are still too early for predicting risk factors for death and even earlier for predicting patient variables related to ICU requirements. It is simplistic to think in age terms in relation to care needs. In seasonal flu research, the probability of ICU admission and mechanical ventilation necessity is not very different comparing children, elderly, and adults as a whole.

First (flagged) case, São Paulo, a man in early 60’s who had travelled in Italy. Inevitable, I suppose.

I discovered it a year or so ago and also particularly like him singing Miserere Mei, Deus with an ensemble of adults (YouTube). Age 17 in 2 months, now baritone.

Arrangements are now being made to evacuate and quarantine at least some of the requesters.

Today it is reported that Bolsonaro will not commit to evacuating about 40 nationals from China, citing undeveloped/unclear quarantine legislation in Brazil.

Leave it to a Brazilian stripper expat in China to ‘micro-influence’ designer face mask uptake, but someone should alert him about spreading trace elements of fecal matter on its surface ...

Remember that progression globally went from 45 to over 10,000 reported cases in the past two weeks even with emerging vector control measures. Thailand’s current baseline is almost half the baseline n=45. Watch it closely over the next two weeks prior to departure, and gauge projected progression over your duration of time there. The exponential factor increases with time. For me, apart from the health risk would be the complexities of travel medical insurance and health care costs. I would certainly want to know my insurer’s position ... it may not be Valentine-grade.

Here is an example of predicted model progression that emerges from epidemiology. If the model reasonably approximates exponential progression based on recent tallies, the forecast is certainly startling, particularly since there are concerns about underreporting. Today’s tally (12,000) falls short of the assumption, but is still worrisome. Sorry the image is not crisper ... you can always search the domain.

Up above the rock face behind (south of) The Week is the Valongo Astronomical Observatory, on Conceição Hill.

A minority of Brazil’s Supreme Court justices support the decriminalization of possession of small amounts of cannabis by adults for personal consumption, ie up to 25 grams. The case, considered to be landmark, had been postponed for years, and again in November was removed from the docket due to pressure from the conservative right ... more analysis required. Not surprisingly, one argument against legalization is that trafficking stakeholders would adapt by creating ‘ant armies’ of distributors that can avoid prosecution by adhering to the maximum possession allowed. Of course, this is but one of several points made against relaxing the law. In contrast, the legalization of cannabis products for medical use appears to be gaining a little bit of traction. I can possess in my province but I wouldn’t be caught dead attempting to bring even one small joint into Brazil.

Hahahahahahaha ... hahahahahahahahahah

It’s chatter bait-and-switch and you are doing everything right.

Perhaps to its credit Brazil does offer outdoor exercise stations that are incentivizing for some ...

What do height and complexion have to do with physical fitness and grooming?

Hahahaha ... my Momma learned me my big and little hand early. Yeah, Eastern time. Even Air Canada has been confounded by the DST reboot in Brazil this year ... they have already revised my (from) São Paulo departure time by a one-hour factor a couple of times.

My first home rental in the area, right where I squared off ‘Catete’ in coral colour, was a big house banked up against the rock face, with a gorgeous private rock garden. One of a few gated communities of older homes in the district. I was practically in tears when the host removed the listing for personal reasons. But I became attached to Catete and the walkable surroundings.

If an ad in the public domain, many forum members in the “other forum” will seek a “411”. Not sure where we ask in advance for impressions/experiences on Boytoy. But the general idea is to work together for safety and self-preservation. I guess here it is under Male Escort Discussion, but if you want to seek knowledge on a provider in Brazil (I am not suggesting you are), I suggest putting an alert here as readers that know guys in Brazil may not look elsewhere on the Board.

REPOST: The future is ambiguous, a mess, lack of clarity around which app-based ride programs are ‘persona non grata’. The taxi union, as I understand it, must pick off any single service judicially one by one. Cabify is next in line to be targeted. Tappsi, EasyTaxi, anyone’s guess. It is unclear whether the union is against all phone-based apps and wants exclusively the old school of radio-dispatched via phone ... and curb side hail. App infrastructure costs do perhaps erode earnings disproportionately. ——- In September my Airbnb host told me to just call or hail a taxi, asserting it would be cheaper to the airport ... I paid COP22,500 for the Über; the driver was in a panic about getting caught!

The future is ambiguous, a mess, lack of clarity around which app-based ride programs are ‘persona non grata’. The taxi union, as I understand it, must pick off any single service judicially one by one. Cabify is next in line to be targeted. Tappsi, EasyTaxi, anyone’s guess. It is unclear whether the union is against all phone-based apps and wants exclusively the old school of radio-dispatched via phone ... and curb side hail. App infrastructure costs do perhaps erode earnings disproportionately.

No, sorry, I would have contacted him for permission .... only vehicle make/model retained in my trip history.

The normal that you can expect is a late arrival. However early he leaves, he will likely be late for his next arrival, UNLESS it is a dealbreaker for him to be tardy, ie an indispensable daytime job. Hence, the leeway he gives himself. Social media has created a world of young hares among tortoises, not necessarily nation-specific. This may be the best way for him to be his best self navigating two disparate employment realities. Personally, I prefer a specific evening session, plush toy , specific morning session (likely alternate trick) in that order. But this is just me. I am a June baby ... the guy may be stupid enough to manipulate at this level ... the cost adds more info about judging the setup.

Having expanded to ÜberEats, Über might do well to launch a ‘local guide’ platform.