Everything posted by spoon
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Face Masks, Gel etc
In short it is still too early to know the exact death rate. To put things to perspective, WHO estimated SARS death rate at 3-4% and by the end of the outbreak, it was 9.6%.
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Face Masks, Gel etc
Here is another dive into the death rate, further divided by region, even in china, the death rate is all over the place with wuhan is higher than the rest. Mortality Rate, as discussed by the National Health Commission (NHC) of China on Feb. 4 Asked at a press conference on February 4 what the current mortality rate (or case fatality rate, CFR) is, an official with China NHC said that [7]: The formula they are using is: cumulative current total deaths / current confirmed cases. Therefore, as of 24:00 on Feb. 3, the formula used was 425/20,438. Based on this figure, the national mortality rate to date was 2.1% of confirmed cases. There might be mild cases and other cases not reported. 97% of the country's total deaths (414) were in the Hubei Province. Mortality rate in Wuhan was 4.9%. Mortality rate in the Hubei Province was 3.1%. Mortality rate nationwide was 2.1%. Fatality rate in other provinces was 0.16%. Deaths in Wuhan were 313, accounting for 74% of China's total. Most of the cases were still mild cases, therefore there was no need to panic. Asked why Wuhan was so much higher than the national level, the NHC official replied that it was for lack of resources, citing as an example that there were only 110 critical care beds in the three designated hospitals where most of the cases were sent. National mortality rate was basically stable, as of Feb. 4 at 2.1%, and it was 2.3% at the beginning of the epidemic, which can be seen as a slight decline. Front the analysis of death cases, it emerged that the demographic profile was mainly male, accounting for 2/3, females accounting for 1/3, and is mainly elderly, more than 80% are elderly over 60 years old, and more than 75% had underlying diseases present such as cardiovascular and cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and, in some cases, tumor. Elderly people with basic diseases, as long as they have pneumonia, were clinically a high-risk factor regardless of whether it is a coronavirus or not, and the case fatality rate was also very high, so it is not that the case fatality rate of pneumonia is high because of the infection with the new coronavirus. "This point must be explained to everyone," concluded the NHC official There are more statistic about death rate on this website if anyone want to read further https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
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Face Masks, Gel etc
To add to the point that it is still too early to get the mortality rate, most people who do get tested, are either needing medical help, have travelled to china (in early stage) or other badly affected countries, or close contact to a confirmed case from contact tracing. We know some countries totally ignore this (indonesia, laos, cambodia for example), and most people who are asymptomatic or got a mild fever without travel history nor close contact to a confirmes cased dont even bother to go to clinic and probably just swallowed some paracetemol. Even amongst the confirmed cases, roughly 80% are having mild symptom without the need to be hospitalized, just needed to be isolated. I agree, this virus is something to be worried about, but it spreads similarly like flu, and unless you are in the high risk group, i do believe the scare is blown out of proportion. Id like to put another insight to the death rate, which is most who died have underlying medical condition.
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GCIRCUIT’S SK2020 Parties Cancelled, an I'm So Bummed
https://thepattayanews.com/2020/03/06/pattaya-city-cancels-all-non-religious-official-songkran-activities-and-wan-lai-festival-due-to-covid19-concerns/ I wouldnt be so sure about that. But i still think songkran isnt everything and there is plenty of fun around still. With much less tourist around, bars and boys will pay more attention to you in bars.
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Face Masks, Gel etc
Yup, it is still too early to get a reasonable fatality rate, especialy it takes few weeks to a month from first testes positive to resolved case (recovered or death). I dont recall the scare is this huge during sars or mers though. H1N1 scare in the beginning was a bit similar but again, it turns out all that scare is for nothing really. Another insight to the mortality rate is to view it by age group.
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Face Masks, Gel etc
Fancy equipment for a disease that is only slightly worse than normal flu
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Double whammy hits tourism
Too bad as i doubt itll pick up anytime soon. Sars outbreak lasted 2 years or so with much less infection. H1N1 on the other hand is still around and now named influenza A but flu shot (vaccine) is able to reduce the severity of the flu. Until a vaccine is found, or enough people been infected and develop antibody against them, the current measure is all we can do.
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Jupiter 2018 is open!
https://www.gayguides.com/forums/topic/12363-jupiter2018/
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Jupiter 2018 is open!
My guess is you are talking about Aek,#88
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Thai tour coordinator gets jail and flogging for fellatio assault
5.5 years in prison vs few hundred baht in a bar for the same act. Its all about consent
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Face Masks, Gel etc
Funny the image showns doesnt match the countries listed lol someone didnt pay attention in geography lesson!
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Moonlight Gogo Bangkok
A more likely scenario is one of his client sponsor him for the business and asked him to stop working at bar. But him saving enough money to open a business is not farfetch as well.
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Moonlight Gogo Bangkok
Wonder how this year songkran going to be. Would thai gov imposed restriction for gathering to avoid a breakout? Spraying water around is a perfect way to spread the virus, and i doubt anyone want to wear mask and get sprayed. I recalled seeing ash wednesday in philiphines adapting to the virus by having the ash sprinkles on top of their heads instead of brushing the ash on the forehead, i guess to avoid contact. Will the thai adapt as well?
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Thai Language & Hierarchies
Hazing does exists, even in malaysia, and it happened more frequently in boarding high school but local university also hold one but in our case, only lasted a week. In Sotus, if the reality is similar in the stories, thai seems to have theirs much more elaborated complete with rituals and trips. In malaysia, we also have two pronoun (several more for dialects) and its formal and informal. For first meeting with someone who isnt obvious of their status, formal is the default setting, so i assumed thats what the thai will do too, until the leaen more. I know in south korea, one of the few introductory question when u meet someone new is their age, so they can sstart addressing the other correctly.
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Boyz Boyz Boyz
Actually as local and expat sees these place is now void of tourists, they might now enjoy the place more lol. We can finally see expats returning to boystown now that its no longer too crowded to even table a boy before this.
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Boyz Boyz Boyz
For BBB disco to close, its does means bad business. But bbb have many regulars from thai and expat alike, so they will still have customers especially weekends.
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Thai Language & Hierarchies
And if anyone interested in a more animated version of this article,at least the beginning of it, go ahead and watch SOTUS series and SOTUS S. As a bonus, its A BL series as well set in college.
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Falling in love with money boy
There is only two ways, one dont tell him at all at the risk of him finding out. Two tell him the truth, he will be hurt but you'll to make up to him after. If you travel and go to bar scene in bangkok and pattaya, chances are high that your boy's network will let him know that you are in town. Option two might be uncomfortable but i always thing being honest of what you want is important too.
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Face Masks, Gel etc
Lets hope the boys will also survive not making enough money due to severe lack of tourist during this supposedly high season for thailand
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Travel observations (not a full report)
There is good pain and bad pain. Good pain, to me is always feels painful but at the same time pleasurable, as it is very deep pain and not like pinching your skin pain. And almost always, you will feel immediate release and instant painless feeling after the masseur let go of the pressure. If the pain is like pinching your skin, or the pain doesnt goes away after he release the pressure, i called it injury lol
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Face Masks, Gel etc
My only fear or more a concern if i do catch it, ill have to let the authority do a check on my travel history and i really dont want to tell the world what ive been doing, who ive met, and wher ive been when i am in thailand lol. I believe that should be private matter but the fear of this covid-19 does mean you will have to be transparent about it or it might lead to another breakout. I really dont want the news to be "gay sex tourist amongst the latest confirmed case of covid-19, and he has been with multiple guys at a gay sauna party of 300+ people". And they will definitely contact all your family and friends of recent contacts too, within 14 days or so, which might include co-workers etc. Imagine the nightmare itll bring lol
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Face Masks, Gel etc
What happened in south korea can actually happen anywhere really. It takes just one selfish individual to refuse being tested for the virus and starts a chain spreading where she went to few more services and infected hundreds more. But yeah, im not sure why the authority there allows for people to refuse being tested, when the virus is just waiting for a breakout. Other than china, we have seen local breakouts in singapore, italy, iran, as well as the cruise ship diamond princess. I foresee we will not see the end of this anytime soon, and travel restriction has been ineffective anyway. So i dont think basing decision to travel or not to a place where local cluster transmission has not been observed is justifiable. Keep abreast with the news and keep practising good hygene practices and if you show symptoms, wear a mask and get to a clinic asap.
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Face Masks, Gel etc
They dont even ban chinese national going there, why would they ban singaporean?
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Hotel Reviews Bangkok
Interesting point that made me googled about hotel rooms classification lol https://traveltips.usatoday.com/classification-rooms-hotel-2981.html In short, standard is the lowest or entry level hotel room, while superior, is usually a standard with view. Furama hotels rooms all have views as its only one side rooms, all facing the river, so i do think its appropriate to name their cheapest room as superior. Deluxe is a different room size or features altogether.
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