RockyRoadTravel

He's buffed up since that photo (which was - sadly - a good tactical move). I was suggesting North Carolina in 2028 as being another potential to shift the Senate along with the ones you had already mentioned.

Every Democratic candidate anywhere is hoping that the Trump Train (coal fired now!) is going to make a stop in their district. Best voter turnout driver for Democrats, Independents, and non-MAGA Republicans voters that Democrats could wish for.

And North Carolina

Interesting article by Nate Silver today on his Silver Bulletin. He discusses polling biases for the Democrats and Republicans. After much data crunching he says that the three Presidential election (2016, 2020, and 2024) there was a Democratic over estimation in the polls. With mid-term elections it's pretty much even with no particular bias. With off years with special elections (e.g. 2025) there has been an under estimation of Democratic support. From my amateur perspective I think this is about turnout. In Presidential years, the MAGA turnout was underestimated. In special election years the Democratic turnout was underestimated. In mid-terms it was about even. With this mid-term cycle does anyone expect a larger than expected turnout by non-MAGA Republicans? I don't. I think the polls are likely about as accurate as in previous mid-terms. The difference with this election, I think, is the impact on this White House regime's attempts to make it harder for American citizens to vote. Purging almost 500,000 names from the voter rolls in Texas, reducing the number of polling stations in Georgia, having ICE agents outside the polls in swing State cities etc. A Tennessee House Representative saying he would attempt to prevent seating a New York Democrat from a blue district. Etc. Etc. Etc. Will GOP cheating work.

I don't know why I'm surprised by our resident cult member's homophobia. It is rampant in the GOP but still on a gay forum it is embarrassing.

Montana is a big miss this year. The Democrat and the Independent candidate couldn't agree on a single candidate (as was figured out in Nebraska) this election. Between them they are splitting the vote and allowing an underwhelming GOP candidate to walk to victory. Between the Democrat and the Independent candidate - from the polling averages - they would be in the lead by a small but significant margin. If the Democrats have 51 seat this term of the Senate, and have to be reliant on the waffles of Fetterman's vote I'll be pissed at Montana Democrats and progressives.

One thing about Mississippi is that electoral opinion is more "inelastic" (as the pollsters say) there, in that it is very racialized. While it looks that Mississippi is going to be even closer than last time (as close as 6% in some recent election) I think that Mississippi might need not just a political change but also a demographic one. Arkansas is interesting because The Great Incompetent is currently attacking his loyal MAGA footman Senator Cotton for some perceived slight of some sort. Louisiana has some of the lowest education attainment rates in the country, I don't see that State moving from the GOP side.

The complete policy response of this White House regime can be summed up in one word: SQUIRREL In the White House we have a lap dog of the billionaire techo bros eating the dog treats they throw him.

Steve, we've talked about this. No one cares what our cult member does alone at night.

Why do you bother with the distraction bate? It's a bunch of nonsense. Back to more important topics. The Great Incompetent encourages his supporters to vote by mail today. Putting the lie to his bullshit complaints.

A British banker who exposed the business ties between Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Jeffrey Epstein has died by suicide, according to a report in The Banker. A death that has drawn the attention of Republican Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY). (Ousted by the GOP establishment because of his work to have the Epstein Files released.) Simon Andriesz, had worked under Lutnick at a company owned by the Cantor Fitsgerald Group. He shared details with House lawmakers earlier this year that revealed links between Lutnick and Epstein, links that led to the exposure of business dealings as recent as 2014. (Lutnick claimed, falsely, his business dealings with Epstein ended in 2005.) The online X profile for ParaPower Mapping, an independent research project and podcast hosted by Klonny Gosch, wrote, “It’s happening again” in response to Andriesz’s sudden death, a reference to the string of Epstein-linked figures being discovered dead in their homes.

He's in a cult. The MAGA echo chamber says "peacemaker" so the bot repeats it. It's his TDS speaking about The Great Leader. Putin's occupation of Ukrainian Crimea continued through the first term of his presidency and The Great Incompetent did nothing about it. China's threats to Taiwan continue and he does nothing about it. The Israeli genocide in Gaza continues and he does nothing about it. The theft of Palestinian land in the Occupied Territories continues and he does nothing about it. He tears up an agreement to end Iran's ability to create nuclear material for a bomb and then as a distraction from the Epstein files (which he's too weak to release) he starts a new Middle East forever war. This time he's following Netanyahu's orders to start a new forever war with Iran. Cost so far in the ten's of billions of dollars and a secret number of Americans dead and/or injured. His "Board of Peace" is nothing more than a real estate venture for his son-in-law. The most corrupt person to occupy the Oval Office ever. The Crime Family is currently in the Oval Office. The Great Incompetent has ended no wars. A word to describe this incompetent currently in the White House is flaccid. He is weak and flaccid. Here is a quote from The Great Leader from his October 1st speech in Denton, Texas. “I can go ramp, I can go stair, I can go another stair over there… He could never find the stair!" He was bragging about finding the stairs. The Great Incompetent was handed a growing economy by Obama, he was handed a growing economy by Biden. Each time he has shit the bed and left an economy in tatters. First time from his failure to manage a COVID response, the second time with tariffs, war and corruption. Everything this man touches dies, as the common saying goes.

That was a boring distraction tactic. Dragging up old conspiracies about a no-longer President to cover for the demented incompetent fool we have in the White House now. Biden even slept with more dignity and grace than The Great Incompetent. What an embarrassment this current White House regime is they've made the USA so weak internationally.

El Sayed in Michigan seems to be leaning into his BDE. His name for the Vice-President is Low T JD, and his Republican opponent he's referring to as a Beta Male. El Sayed can probably pull it off, but its a politics that is unappealing to me.

The Great Incompetent is sending an additional 9,000 US troops to the Middle East for his chosen forever war. GOP and war. The never ending story.

At his half empty rally (I'm being generous) today in Mobile. One of the rambling bits of nonsense spouted by The Great Incompetent. "Dumb has a "b" in it. Most people don't know this. I discovered this." Is he just creating ad content for the Democrats now? He is such a national embarrassment.

Today this White House regime made announcements about South Korean investments in the USA. Problem. The South Koreans are "say what?" These have been talked about but nothing is settled. The Great Incompetent's response? To threaten South Korean. This regime is so incompetent.

Yet another shitty jobs report for this White House regime, including downgrades of the July and June jobs numbers as well. JD Vance "we are so happy with how this is going." Spin doesn't work for everyone who is driving past a gas station and looking at the prices caused by this regime's chosen new forever war.

Something your lonely stalker probably says every night

The question reporters could ask The Great Incompetent: Can you tell us the name of one swing State Republican who has asked you to appear in their district? One name.

Seeking unanimous consent for legislation to have school bus stops be off limits from out of control and untrained ICE agents

Junior Senator Eric Schmitt (Missouri) is now either ducking interviews or cutting them short. He's being asked about the DOJ telling him his "gotcha moment" text was unvetted. The "gotcha moment" that blew up in his smug face. I hope that the junior Senator now knows the difference between the Atlanta Hawks (NBA) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (college team). Knowing about mid-west sports teams must be hard for the junior Senator from Missouri what with all that time he spends weaving conspiracies.

It's hard watching the verbal gymnastics of junior Senator Schmitt trying to avoid JUST APOLOGIZING for his false accusations and name calling. So simple. So incapable.